Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 17.261784 19.817630 22.804385 26.599917 31.364948 37.247548 45.220869
2025-03-02 13.978664 17.032569 20.935888 26.439773 34.264608 45.450181 63.625857
2025-03-09 12.279504 15.556267 20.003803 26.752553 37.284092 54.226990 86.563415
2025-03-16 10.747531 13.973795 18.535052 25.822852 38.001340 59.479778 106.437311
2025-03-23 9.804470 13.044782 17.796971 25.760791 39.971437 67.464744 137.151853
2025-03-30 8.796290 11.885497 16.529984 24.574819 39.618573 70.803602 159.798033
2025-04-06 7.918369 10.824293 15.276283 23.186658 38.535557 72.194747 178.631462
2025-04-13 7.241152 10.003680 14.309556 22.143283 37.883798 74.346490 202.511767
2025-04-20 7.348827 10.400654 15.350652 24.873094 45.707601 101.262701 365.622581
2025-04-27 7.120674 10.235395 15.419913 25.771887 49.799026 120.897666 560.091261
2025-05-04 6.623267 9.587829 14.581237 24.725654 48.941663 124.394578 662.823550
2025-05-11 6.435451 9.438828 14.610916 25.468546 52.835739 147.466805 1086.845161
2025-05-18 6.119841 9.067087 14.230592 25.354417 54.655817 165.385399 1703.206104
2025-05-25 5.827142 8.714258 13.853826 25.199007 56.378559 185.254708 2887.255286
2025-06-01 5.615903 8.485950 13.687359 25.491252 59.574395 216.839977 6625.200567
2025-06-08 5.295786 8.043026 13.065938 24.622998 58.841697 226.239862 11143.580149
2025-06-15 5.090097 7.791171 12.797173 24.565008 60.819680 256.124304 39736.674206
2025-06-22 4.794075 7.358993 12.136361 23.456052 58.853128 256.810523 79031.818316
2025-06-29 4.500061 6.916649 11.427971 22.156123 55.934206 248.170167 115153.268407
2025-07-06 4.257592 6.557783 10.867695 21.177664 54.005660 246.332284 283360.960329
2025-07-13 4.365333 6.846247 11.645149 23.735097 66.336006 397.891717 NaN
2025-07-20 4.306051 6.818437 11.761987 24.575377 72.421756 520.040259 NaN
2025-07-27 4.101958 6.505392 11.247742 23.597174 70.160805 520.217266 NaN